近日,對全國(guo)(guo)100余家(jia)河北、山東(dong)、上(shang)(shang)海、浙江、重慶(qing)、廣東(dong)等13個地(di)(di)區再(zai)生鋁(lv)合金(jin)錠(ding)生產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)企(qi)業(ye)的(de)(de)3月開(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)工(gong)(gong)情況進行調研,由下(xia)圖可以看(kan)出全國(guo)(guo)3月份國(guo)(guo)內各(ge)地(di)(di)區鋁(lv)合金(jin)錠(ding)生產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)企(qi)業(ye)開(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)工(gong)(gong)率(lv)(lv)(lv)較2月大幅(fu)回(hui)升,其中全國(guo)(guo)大部分地(di)(di)區開(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)工(gong)(gong)率(lv)(lv)(lv)在(zai)70%以上(shang)(shang).山東(dong)地(di)(di)區開(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)工(gong)(gong)率(lv)(lv)(lv)最低(di)在(zai)50%左右,原因(yin)為環保不(bu)達標的(de)(de)小(xiao)企(qi)業(ye)在(zai)對戶型(xing)進行改造,而有生產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)資質的(de)(de)企(qi)業(ye)開(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)工(gong)(gong)率(lv)(lv)(lv)在(zai)85%以上(shang)(shang),節后生產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)一種(zhong)處于高(gao)位,除正(zheng)常(chang)設備維護,產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)線基(ji)本處于滿負(fu)荷生產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)狀態(tai).河南(nan)、遼(liao)寧、重慶(qing)地(di)(di)區開(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)工(gong)(gong)率(lv)(lv)(lv)在(zai)國(guo)(guo)內排(pai)名(ming)前列,其中河南(nan)地(di)(di)區開(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)工(gong)(gong)率(lv)(lv)(lv)達90%,盡管本地(di)(di)沒有相關(guan)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)基(ji)地(di)(di),但因(yin)其價格(ge)便宜,鋁(lv)錠(ding)多(duo)銷往華東(dong)區域的(de)(de)鑄(zhu)件廠家(jia),且當(dang)地(di)(di)環保檢查力度不(bu)強(qiang),節后生產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)維持高(gao)位;遼(liao)寧、重慶(qing)地(di)(di)區作為我國(guo)(guo)重要的(de)(de)汽(qi)車生產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)基(ji)地(di)(di),因(yin)下(xia)游(you)汽(qi)車生產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)企(qi)業(ye)多(duo)在(zai)為五一小(xiao)長假的(de)(de)車展準備庫(ku)存,對鋁(lv)錠(ding)的(de)(de)需(xu)求量巨大,故三月鋁(lv)合金(jin)錠(ding)生產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)企(qi)業(ye)開(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)工(gong)(gong)率(lv)(lv)(lv)維持相對高(gao)位,分別為79%、85%.據調研:全國(guo)(guo)3月份國(guo)(guo)內各(ge)地(di)(di)區再(zai)生鋁(lv)合金(jin)錠(ding)企(qi)業(ye)的(de)(de)平均開(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)(kai)工(gong)(gong)率(lv)(lv)(lv)約為75%左右,環比(bi)上(shang)(shang)升13.64%.

    盡管今年(nian)三月(yue)現貨(huo)(huo)(huo)鋁(lv)(lv)價(jia)(jia)(jia)低于(yu)往年(nian)同期(qi),但(dan)整體(ti)走勢(shi)趨強(qiang),屬于(yu)穩步上升趨勢(shi),整體(ti)抗(kang)跌性強(qiang).特別是(shi)進入三月(yue)下(xia)行(xing),盡管國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)外LME盤面連日下(xia)跌,但(dan)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)內(nei)(nei)期(qi)、現價(jia)(jia)(jia)格走勢(shi)未受(shou)影響,截止至本月(yue)24日,國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)內(nei)(nei)現貨(huo)(huo)(huo)鋁(lv)(lv)價(jia)(jia)(jia)累漲(zhang)290元(yuan)/噸(dun)至11470元(yuan)/噸(dun),漲(zhang)幅(fu)2.59%.同時受(shou)市場供(gong)應不足(zu)、供(gong)需(xu)相對(dui)穩定現狀支撐,國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)內(nei)(nei)現貨(huo)(huo)(huo)鋁(lv)(lv)價(jia)(jia)(jia)易漲(zhang)難(nan)跌格局(ju)短期(qi)難(nan)以打破.本月(yue)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)內(nei)(nei)鋁(lv)(lv)合(he)(he)金(jin)(jin)錠(ding)(ding)(ding)(ding)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)標ADC12均價(jia)(jia)(jia)12313元(yuan)/噸(dun),較(jiao)2月(yue)漲(zhang)296元(yuan)/噸(dun);鋁(lv)(lv)合(he)(he)金(jin)(jin)錠(ding)(ding)(ding)(ding)非標ADC12均價(jia)(jia)(jia)10267元(yuan)/噸(dun),較(jiao)2月(yue)漲(zhang)236元(yuan)/噸(dun).通常鋁(lv)(lv)合(he)(he)金(jin)(jin)錠(ding)(ding)(ding)(ding)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格多參考(kao)現貨(huo)(huo)(huo)鋁(lv)(lv)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格定價(jia)(jia)(jia),國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)內(nei)(nei)鋁(lv)(lv)合(he)(he)金(jin)(jin)錠(ding)(ding)(ding)(ding)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格走勢(shi)趨于(yu)現貨(huo)(huo)(huo)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格.據(ju)卓創統計(ji),全(quan)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)有(you)生產資質的(de)(de)再生鋁(lv)(lv)合(he)(he)金(jin)(jin)錠(ding)(ding)(ding)(ding)企(qi)(qi)業開工(gong)率為(wei)50-90%,且多集中(zhong)在75%以上.自春節過后,國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)內(nei)(nei)鋁(lv)(lv)合(he)(he)金(jin)(jin)錠(ding)(ding)(ding)(ding)生產企(qi)(qi)業開工(gong)率居高不下(xia),除汽車、摩(mo)托車生產企(qi)(qi)業年(nian)初備庫存積(ji)極采(cai)購,長江中(zhong)下(xia)游區域壓(ya)鑄(zhu)廠家跨區域采(cai)鋁(lv)(lv)錠(ding)(ding)(ding)(ding)也發展(zhan)了產業分布稀少區域的(de)(de)企(qi)(qi)業.短期(qi)來看,市場需(xu)求穩定,對(dui)鋁(lv)(lv)合(he)(he)金(jin)(jin)錠(ding)(ding)(ding)(ding)的(de)(de)采(cai)購量將延續,故開工(gong)率多維持高位(wei),預計(ji)2016年(nian)4月(yue)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)內(nei)(nei)鋁(lv)(lv)合(he)(he)金(jin)(jin)錠(ding)(ding)(ding)(ding)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格仍(reng)有(you)上行(xing)空間.